The modern power complex of Russia has a three-component structure: power generation, transmission, and sale (see fig.).
Rosseti PJSC is involved in power transmission and distribution. Being the country’s largest grid company, Rosseti PJSC combines a main-line grid complex, interregional distribution grid companies (including Rosseti Tyumen JSC), and regional distribution grid companies.
Russia’s energy industry is divided into three tiers based on technological, administrative, and territorial attributes:
Russia’s GDP growth in 2021 was the highest since 2008 and amounted to 4.7%, although the inflation rate was also the highest since 2015, amounting to 8.39%.
According to the Federal State Statistics Service of the Russian Federation, in 2020 the Russian economy declined by 2.7%, in 2019 the growth rate of economy amounted to 2.2%, in 2018 – to 2.8%, in 2017 – to 1.8%, in 2016 – to 0.2%.
Thus, as compared with the “pre-Covid” year 2019, growth of Russian GDP in 2021 amounted to 1.9%.
The growth dynamics of the GDP and its components in 2021 against 2020 is due to the economic recovery.
According to Rosstat, production increased in almost all sectors of the economy in 2021. As compared to 2020, the “electricity, gas and steam supply” segment demonstrated a significant increase in added value in comparison with other industries (6.1%).
The share of net exports (exports minus imports) in the Russian economy grew up to 9.6% in 2021 from 5.2% in 2020.
According to Rosstat, the Industrial Production Index in 2021 as compared to 2020 was 105.3% in December 2021 against 106.1% in the relevant period of the previous year, which reflects the rapid recovery of large industrial companies.
One of the few negative macroeconomic factors in 2021 was record-breaking inflation rate which amounted to 8.39%, the maximum rate since 2015. Significant inflationary pressure was largely driven by global trends – in 2021, an unprecedented rise in commodity and consumer prices around the world was observed, with supply chains being disrupted and extended.
According to the Bank of Russia’s forecast, the GDP is expected to decline by 8.0% in 2022 instead of the previously forecasted growth by 2.4%. The forecast is reduced by 1.1 p.p. to 1.0% for 2023, and by 0.5 p.p. to 1.5% for 2024. Projected long-term GDP growth rates reduced by 1.0 p.p. to 1.0%.
Inflation projections raised by 14.5 p.p. up to 20.0% for 2022 , by 4.0 p.p. up to 8.0% for 2023, and by 0.8 p.p. up to 4.8% for 2024.
The dynamics of oil and gas exports is expected to be uneven over the forecast horizon. In 2022, the index is projected to grow by 7.4% at face value and by 9.0% in real terms due to the increase in the volume of oil exports under the OPEC+1 deal.
Taking into account the existing OPEC+ deal, the base case projects an increase in oil production to 557.6 million tons by 2024. In the conditions of the development of crude oil refining, the gradual modernization of oil refineries and an increase in the depth of oil refining, oil exports will amount to 269.0 million tons by 2024. The growth of oil exports to non-CIS countries is projected to amount to 250.97 million tons by 2024, mainly due to an increased supply to Asia-Pacific countries. Exports to the CIS countries will remain at 18.05 million tons in 2021-20242.
In the medium term, the country’s total gas production will continue to increase. The projected growth in gas production (up to 799.6 billion cubic meters in 2024) will be provided by development of 33 PJSC Gazprom’s fields, as well as by increased production by independent gas producers.
The increase in the regulated tariffs of grid companies for consumers other than individuals will amount to 3.8% on average in the country in 2022. Given the growth in consumption, such increase should compensate grid companies for significant cost inflation caused by rising material and equipment costs. In 2023–2024, indexation parameters will be in line with previously adopted long-term parameters that originate systemic pressure on the increase in costs of grid companies The annual increase in the regulated tariffs for consumers other than individuals will remain under 3.0% in the specified period3.
The Company’s major customers that account for the bulk of stable energy consumption in the Tyumen Region are oil and gas companies that produce 64% of Russia’s oil and 91% of its gas. These companies consume 84% of the Company’s net output. The key factors that affect the Company’s net output are as follows:
OPEC agreement, adopted at the meeting of the OPEC+ countries on July 18, 2021 regulates oil production rates which has resulted in growing oil production in the Russian Federation increasing monthly since August 2021 by 100 thousand barrels per day, which, subsequently, resulted in an increase in electricity consumption by major oil and gas companies, their consumption share equaling 84% in the Company’s total volume.
The net electricity output in 2021 amounted to 43,458 million kWh which is 2,255 million kWh or 5.7% higher than in 2020.
The growing sanctions impact on the Russian economy, as well as the cessation of oil and gas delivery to the United States and the EU countries, may lead to a 14.1% decrease of energy consumption in the oil and gas sector of the Tyumen region in 2022.
In order to stabilize the Company’s financial and economic status in the long term, Rosseti Tyumen JSC implements proactive and constant measures to stabilize financial and economic performance in terms of costs optimization, maintaining an effective tariff policy, getting income from other sources.
Rosseti Tyumen JSC is the largest territorial grid company in the Tyumen region, KhMAO and YNAO. It leads in the market of electric power transmission services to end consumers among the distribution grid companies of the Tyumen energy system, located on the territory of three Russia’s constituent entities: Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug, Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug –Yugra and the Tyumen Region, with 67.5% market share.
Rosseti Tyumen JSC comprises nine branches in three of Russia’s constituent entities, namely:
Rosseti Tyumen JSC contributes to the growing industrial potential of Russia’s most important region while improving the energy security of the country in general, enhancing the quality and safety of its electric power transmission and distribution services in accordance with the global standards, while also continuously and steadily improving and developing the grid complex in the Tyumen Region, the KhMAO-Yugra, and the YNAO.
Systematic efforts in grid renovation and commissioning of new facilities is still a relevant objective and high priority for Rosseti Tyumen JSC.
More than 42 local grid operators operate in the Tyumen Region beside Rosseti Tyumen JSC; these operators provide such services as grid connection within their localities or serve specific industrial enterprises. Such grid operators mostly have no direct access to the UNEG and supply power of low-to-medium voltage (0.4-10 to 10 kV); they are connected to Rosseti Tyumen JSC’s grid as the latter has higher voltage.
Currently, Rosseti Tyumen JSC competes against:
FGC UES PJSC offers its electric power transmission services at a drastically different price, which motivates our customers to switch to FGC UES’s services; as a result, our electric power transmission and revenue figures fall short of plans.
Local grid operators currently present in the Tyumen Region, KhMAO–Yugra, and YNAO are involved in grid asset consolidation.
The companies most involved in the power grid assets consolidation are: SUENKO PJSC, YuTEK-Regional Grids JSC, Gorelektroset JSC Nizhnevartovsk, which are part of the STS Corporation LLC holding structure.
Given that the energy service market is growing, and the emergence of competition seems quite possible, Rosseti Tyumen JSC prioritizes the expansion of its grid; expansion efforts include the development and enhancement of the procedures for connecting consumer-side inputs to Rosseti Tyumen JSC’s grids as well as the consolidation of grid assets.
Throughout its history, Rosseti Tyumen JSC has adhered to the core principles and priorities of the industry. Medium- and long-term action plans have been devised to attain the goals. The Company’s strategic priorities are set forth by its shareholder Rosseti PJSC.
In June 2020, the Government of the Russian Federation approved the new Energy Strategy of the Russian Federation until 2035 (Government Decree No. 1523-r dd. June 9, 2020). Russia’s energy policy prioritizes national energy security, meeting the domestic demand for energy and related services, a transition to eco-friendly, resource-saving energy, boosting competition in the fuel and energy industry, using domestically manufactured equipment, making all levels of management more efficient in the fuel and energy industry, and taking advantage of centralized electricity delivery.
Russia’s electric power targets for 2020 are set forth in the Development Strategy of the Electric Power Grid Complex of the Russian Federation as approved by the Decree of the Russian Government No. 511-р dd. April 3, 2013 On the Approval of the Development Strategy of the Electric Power Grid Complex of the Russian Federation.
On December 26, 2019, the Board of Directors of Rosseti PJSC approved the Development Strategy of Rosseti PJSC and its SDCs (“Rosseti Group”) (“Rosseti Group Strategy”) for the period until 2030.
Rosseti Tyumen JSC acts within the Rosseti Group Strategy in the long term.
Strategic goals determined in the Rosseti Group Strategy 2030:
The company has determined the core aspects of the strategic development:
In order to pursue the Rosseti Group Strategy, Rosseti Tyumen JSC adopted several policy documents including:
The Company implemented and forecasted solutions to the following key objectives across its strategic areas in 2021:
Based on these principles, the Company has developed an action plan for the period for up to 2030.
Value – WE ENSURE reliable and high-quality power supply.
Value – WE PROVIDE affordable grid connection services.
Activities performed in 2021:
Results in 2021:
KPIs:
Value – WE DEVELOP new services.
Activities performed in 2021:
Results in 2021:
KPIs:
Value - WE PROTECT ecosystems
Activities performed in 2021:
Results in 2021:
KPIs:
Value – WE INVEST in the regional economy.
Activities performed in 2021:
Results in 2021:
KPI:
Value – WE CREATE digital power grids.
Activities performed in 2021:
Results in 2021:
KPIs:
Value - WE OFFER HR development.
Activities performed in 2021:
Results in 2021:
KPIs:
Achievement of the priority development goals of the Company is assessed against key performance indicators (KPI) used in the Company.
The key performance indicator system of the Director General of the Company was established under:
KPI targets were set by the Resolution of the Board of Directors dd. December 28, 2020 (Minutes No. 34/20 dd. December 28, 2020).
The Company’s KPI system affects the variable remuneration for the managers; each KPI has a weight that is used to calculate the payable bonuses, which are subject to the attainment of the KPI targets.
Rosseti Tyumen JSC has approved a Functional Risks Register (“the FR”) in order to evaluate the impact of risks on the Company’s KPIs; the significance of these risks is to be revaluated on an annual basis.
Risks are expert-assessed. Risk assessment assigns the class of significance according to the trilevel classification presented in the Risk Management Regulations: moderate, significant, critical.
Critical level risks are unacceptable and subject to priority management.
Significant risks are not critical but have substantial impact on the Company’s businesses and are therefore subject to management.
Moderate risks may slightly affect the Company’s businesses but are still subject to monitoring.
* Risk FR 12-04 “Involvement of the Company / employees of the Company in corrupt practices” is assessed “critical” due to the unacceptability of corruption in any form or manifestation in the Company (“zero corruption tolerance” principle) and the need to take priority measures to manage this risk, while the level of risk probability is assessed as low.